Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.045628 0.049656 0.053738 0.058178 0.062864 0.067656 0.072919
2024-10-27 0.039584 0.045553 0.051825 0.058881 0.066572 0.074675 0.083830
2024-11-03 0.034063 0.041317 0.049202 0.058347 0.068598 0.079675 0.092488
2024-11-10 0.030108 0.038344 0.047575 0.058573 0.071205 0.085150 0.101599
2024-11-17 0.027196 0.036229 0.046639 0.059341 0.074242 0.090996 0.111081
2024-11-24 0.025927 0.035877 0.047614 0.062220 0.079646 0.099523 0.123657
2024-12-01 0.022451 0.032534 0.044764 0.060335 0.079279 0.101243 0.128293
2024-12-08 0.020076 0.030357 0.043149 0.059770 0.080340 0.104527 0.134677
2024-12-15 0.018118 0.028549 0.041846 0.059459 0.081601 0.107973 0.141205
2024-12-22 0.017400 0.028318 0.042502 0.061563 0.085811 0.114968 0.152004
2024-12-29 0.016343 0.027534 0.042365 0.062601 0.088659 0.120298 0.160814
2025-01-05 0.015313 0.026704 0.042099 0.063419 0.091193 0.125230 0.169151
2025-01-12 0.013725 0.024993 0.040598 0.062599 0.091667 0.127682 0.174577
2025-01-19 0.012850 0.024267 0.040399 0.063482 0.094326 0.132877 0.183433
2025-01-26 0.011618 0.022905 0.039235 0.062996 0.095157 0.135752 0.189414
2025-02-02 0.010729 0.022002 0.038664 0.063275 0.096965 0.139855 0.196941
2025-02-09 0.010076 0.021421 0.038517 0.064108 0.099488 0.144869 0.205630
2025-02-16 0.010070 0.021898 0.039934 0.067156 0.105017 0.153799 0.219348
2025-02-23 0.008771 0.020102 0.037865 0.065175 0.103678 0.153788 0.221658
2025-03-02 0.007928 0.019014 0.036804 0.064583 0.104186 0.156152 0.226990
2025-03-09 0.007218 0.018098 0.035957 0.064257 0.105026 0.158933 0.232854
2025-03-16 0.007108 0.018273 0.036831 0.066476 0.109429 0.166459 0.244911
2025-03-23 0.006770 0.017992 0.036956 0.067571 0.112256 0.171902 0.254291